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Crude & Agri commodities
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Commodities - Gurus call it the best hedge in current times :Crude & Agri commodities
Message Icon Topic: Is Crude Oil ready for a nose dive? Post Reply Post New Topic
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 19/Aug/2008 at 10:16am
Originally posted by Ajith

   First Global has just carried to an extreme the prevalent view of demand destruction.Had they made the call at the peak of 145 dollars plus, that would have been brilliant.(some one did make a call like that on this forum before oil fell)
 
Yes, It was Kulmanji.
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chimak10
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Quote chimak10 Replybullet Posted: 21/Aug/2008 at 9:27pm
oh shanker sharma..........u have failed me again....

source : bloomberg

               VALUE     CHANGE     % CHANGE
Oil             121.42     5.86     5.07
Gold             843.20     26.90     3.30
Natural Gas     8.34     0.27     3.32
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 21/Aug/2008 at 10:29pm
Hope this will turn out as a Bear Market rally.
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chimak10
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Quote chimak10 Replybullet Posted: 21/Aug/2008 at 10:40pm
beer market rally.........cheers
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chimak10
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Quote chimak10 Replybullet Posted: 21/Aug/2008 at 1:29am
A Few Speculators Dominate Vast Market for Oil Trading

Regulators had long classified a private Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil to run their businesses.

But when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission examined Vitol's books last month, it found that the firm was in fact more of a speculator, holding oil contracts as a profit-making investment rather than a means of lining up the actual delivery of fuel. Even more surprising to the commodities markets was the massive size of Vitol's portfolio -- at one point in July, the firm held 11 percent of all the oil contracts on the regulated New York Mercantile Exchange.............

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/20/AR2008082003898.html?hpid=topnews
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stocktin
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Quote stocktin Replybullet Posted: 21/Aug/2008 at 2:18am

Buffet, Gates tour Alberta oilsands
Last Updated: Wednesday, August 20, 2008 | 12:44 PM MT Comments50Recommend34
CBC News

Two of the richest men in the world made a surprise visit to Alberta's oilsands Monday, oil industry officials confirmed Wednesday.

Bill Gates and Warren Buffet visited the $9-billion Horizon oilsands project, owned by Canadian Natural Resources, just north of Fort McMurray. Gates is the founder of Microsoft and Buffet owns the mammoth holdings company Berkshire Hathaway, which is worth a reported $62 billion.

Greg Stringham, vice-president of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, said the first he heard about the visit was when he got a call asking him to make a presentation to the two men and their entourage.

"It was not our initiative to put the group together or be part of the tour. We were just invited to come up and give a presentation to them, which is what we did. "

Stringham said he was happy to oblige.

"[We gave them a] general overview of what was going on in the oil and gas industry, very general, kind of what we give to many other people when they are visiting."

Stringham wouldn't say why the pair decided to visit the oilsands, or if they talked about any future plans to invest in the community.
taggy
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Quote vijaygawde Replybullet Posted: 22/Aug/2008 at 4:39am
Oil falls $6, biggest drop since 2004
 
Crude oil prices fell more than $6 on Friday in the biggest one-day percentage slide since 2004 as dealers turned their focus to rising supply levels and weakening global demand.

A rebound in the US dollar encouraged the sell-off, applying downward pressure across the commodities markets by weakening the purchasing power of buyers using other currencies, analysts said.

"People who were buying yesterday are taking profits today," said Peter Beutel, analyst at consultancy Cameron Hanover. "There is also renewed technical selling and talk again of demand destruction. The dollar is strong again too."

US crude fell $6.07, or 5 per cent, to $115.11 a barrel at 1825 GMT, the biggest one-day fall in percentage terms since December 2004. London Brent crude fell $5.85 to $114.31 a barrel. The slide completely reversed crude's surge on Thursday, underscoring the increasing volatility of the energy market, which has dropped more than 20 per cent from peaks in mid-July but is still about 15 percent up on the year.

The declines Friday were encouraged by two separate reports Friday showing an uptick in OPEC crude oil output and an expected decline in US travel over the Sept. 1 Labor Day holiday weekend. Industry consultant Petrologistics said on Friday OPEC oil output was expected to rise in August by 450,000 barrels per day to 32.95 million bpd, a factor that could further beef up inventory levels in consumer nations. Meanwhile, the US auto and travel group AAA said that Labor Day holiday travel was expected to fall this year by the largest amount in at least eight years as consumers struggle with higher gasoline prices and airfares.
Concerns high energy costs are taking a toll on global fuel demand have played a big role in oil's sharp descent from peaks above $147 a barrel in mid-July. Friday's losses came after a big climb in prices earlier in the week that had been supported by rising tension between the United States and Russia, the world's second biggest oil producer.
 


Edited by vijaygawde - 22/Aug/2008 at 4:41am
Diversification is protection against ignorance, it makes little sense for those who know what they’re doing.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 22/Aug/2008 at 8:33am
 "People who were buying yesterday are taking profits today," said Peter Beutel, analyst at consultancy Cameron Hanover. "There is also renewed technical selling and talk again of demand destruction. The dollar is strong again too." 
 
These explanations look so obvious and dumb!
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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