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Crude & Agri commodities
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Commodities - Gurus call it the best hedge in current times :Crude & Agri commodities
Message Icon Topic: Is Crude Oil ready for a nose dive? Post Reply Post New Topic
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 02/Sep/2008 at 1:23pm
Oil is trading @108.5 USD.
 
On Thursday one analyst from US was arguing that Oil & Gas Future are available for free on that day since Hurricane Gustav will push the Oil & Gas future price through the roof.
 
 
 
 
 
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prashantmohta
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Quote prashantmohta Replybullet Posted: 02/Sep/2008 at 1:58pm
now the the headlines will be that some hedge funds collapsing in few days.
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nannu_68
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Quote nannu_68 Replybullet Posted: 02/Sep/2008 at 9:49pm
My post dated 05 jul on US economy thread-

"Rise in oil price thru speculation in futures commodity market is another way of Bush paying to his campaign sponsors.. war on afganistan and iraq were also for this primary reason.. but this is only what a lot of people believe in, nothing concrete to prove or disprove here..  so if this is the last payback from bush, then the oil price should start easing off, before the next US elections.. war on Iran could really throw things off though! more views on this are welcome.. " conspiracy theory"!!!"

Seems to be heading the same way!!  Lamp

 
nannu
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prashantmohta
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Quote prashantmohta Replybullet Posted: 04/Sep/2008 at 11:50am
Ospraie Management To Shut Down Largest Fund

Hedge fund Ospraie Management, one of the biggest players in commodities, said Tuesday it is shutting down its largest fund after significant losses.

The Ospraie Fund fell 27% in August alone due to bets on oil, natural gas, structured products and the fund has been selling off its holdings over the past three weeks, possibly contributing to the decline in commodity prices recently. The fund, whose assets peaked at $3.8 billion late last year, is the biggest run by Dwight Anderson, a veteran commodities investor.In a letter to sent to investors Tuesday, Mr. Anderson said: "The losses were primarily caused by a substantial sell-off in a number of our energy, mining and resource equity holdings during a six-week period characterized by some of the sharpest declines in these sectors in the past 10 to 20 years."

The fund was shut down, the letter said, because any loss greater than 30% triggered a provision that allowed investors in the fund to pull money out as they wished, resulting in Ospraie's decision to wind down the fund and return money to its clients, according to a letter
Losing bets on energy and resource stocks helped pare the fund from $2.8 billion in assets at the start of August, according to a person familiar with the fund. A spokesman for the New York-based Ospraie declined to comment. The Ospraie Fund started investing in February 2000 and returned about 15% a year, on average, until it hit trouble this year. 

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kanagala
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Quote kanagala Replybullet Posted: 09/Sep/2008 at 10:08am
Opec agrees to cut oil production.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7607508.stm

I guess, $100 per barrel is here to stay.


Edited by kanagala - 09/Sep/2008 at 10:08am
While one person hesitates because he feels inferior, the other is busy making mistakes and becoming superior.
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2008 at 9:05pm
Crude comes very close to two digit mark. Made new low USD @ 100.1
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bassein
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Quote bassein Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2008 at 7:40am
Originally posted by paragdesai

Crude comes very close to two digit mark. Made new low USD @ 100.1


But India may not get the full benefit since the rupee is depreciating against the dollar.
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2008 at 8:26am
Originally posted by bassein

Originally posted by paragdesai

Crude comes very close to two digit mark. Made new low USD @ 100.1


But India may not get the full benefit since the rupee is depreciating against the dollar.
 
Yes our GOI & state Govt. are very much dependent (almost 45-60%) on revenue from OIL sector like Excise, Custom, Vat, Dividend from OIL PSU. With widening of physical deficit & appreciating rupee is the worst case scenario for us. So they are considering reduction of retail Diesel price some where next month so Inflation can be kept under tight control. They have also considering zero subsidy for their bulk industrial diesel buyer. That means they will pay for almost Rs. 53-57 per liter of diesel.  
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