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Portfolio Check Up
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 2:47pm
Originally posted by smartcat

2 major changes since the last update -
 
-  I think Kotak Mahindra Bank's stock price will grow faster than Reliance Capital from here. So, got out of Reliance Capital and invested the proceeds into Yes Bank and Kotak.
 
- Slowly getting out of Aban Offshore. Will complete the exit by this year end. But right now, Aban is my source of cash. If anything interesting comes up, I am selling Aban to raise money for investment. The big trigger for Aban in the short term is the listing of Aban Singapore.
 
Current Portfolio Allocation:
 
Reliance Industries                 12.51
Punj Loyd                               12.36
DLF                                         12.13
Kotak Bank                             12.12
Adani Enterprises                   10.08
 
Pantaloon Retail                       7.53
Aban Offshore                          6.73
GVK Power & Infra                    6.14
Yes Bank                                  5.40
Mundra Port & SEZ                   3.41
Transport Corp                         3.07
Shiv Vani                                  3.02
 
Vishal Retail                             1.19
JP Associates                           1.18
Edelweiss Capital                    1.05
Pidilite                                      0.93
ITC                                           0.57
Tata Motors                             0.49
 
Market Cap Classification:
 
Large Caps:  59.3%                     
Mid Caps   :   32.3%
Small Caps:    8.4%
 
Sector Classification:
 
Oil & Gas                - 22.1%
Infrastructure        - 21.6%
Financial Services  - 18.5%
Real Estate            - 12.1%
Retail & Logistics   - 11.8%
Diversified              - 11.3%
FMCG                     -   1.5%
Automobiles           -  0.5%
 
 
Any changes, dear smartcat to this portfolio of yours. Your portfolio is something I always try to analyse well. Hence asking......
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 2:48pm
Where's Cairn Energy in your portfolio.......?????????????????????????
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smartcat
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Quote smartcat Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 3:13pm
Looking at Indiabulls Financials. Motilal Oswal expects them to do a net profit of Rs. 1,800 crores in FY10. Just finished reading Indiabulls' FY07 Annual Report. Management seems to be very cocky and aggressive. And the current market cap is around Rs. 16,000 crores.
 
Am contemplating reducing Mundra to 1% but haven't taken a decision yet. - Finance Ministry has put a spanner in the wheels.
 
I have a feeling Ambani Baba will discover more oil & gas in India than these gorey sahebs (Yeah, I'm racist when it comes to stock picking).
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 3:15pm
Just a small piece of suggestion......given your investing style include something in the healthcare sector. That will make your portfolio a bit balanced......my humble opinion, please ignore in case you think otherwise.
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smartcat
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Quote smartcat Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 3:33pm

Reading up on Glenmark and will look into Wockhardt Hospitals post-listing.

Wockhardt Hospital's operating profits have gone up from Rs. 11 crores in FY04 to Rs. 54 crores in FY08 (9 months). OPM is around 20%. Topline is growing at 50% CAGR. Bottomline/EPS hurts because of high depreciation.
 
However, I am not aware of any Western hospital stock trading at a market cap of over $2 billion. So I'm not sure if the opportunity is big in the hospitals business. 
 
 
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 3:38pm

How many countries in the west have a population of over a billion???? whats their hospital to a million person population ratio and whats ours??????

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CHINKI
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Quote CHINKI Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 4:07pm
I remember discussions w.r.t. Apollo Hospitals, wherein Basant had mentioned that, this is a capital intensive industry, where they need to invest heavily on the machines/instruments.
TOUGH TIMES NEVER LAST, BUT TOUGH PEOPLE DO
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Quote tigershark Replybullet Posted: 31/Jan/2008 at 7:04pm
first out of the 1billion only the top 10% of the pyramid can go to wockhardt hospital the rest will go to govt hospitals.the ppp of indians has not yet reached the level of usa.by the time the middle class starts going there there will be more competition.hospitals suck money and its difficult to generate free cash flow. the best way to play a billion people is thru retail anything retail
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things
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