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manish962
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Quote manish962 Replybullet Posted: 03/Apr/2012 at 11:58am
Originally posted by subash1983

Regarding 4 pharma company, actually I am planning to add 1/2 more company to it (Most likely Sun, Ipca or Piramal). I am starting to have a feeling that Indian pharma company are going to have a super boom like IT/ITes/BPO boom of India. Patents of quite a number of high selling drugs are going to expire in US in comming years, and Indian pharma comapny are best suited for ripping the benefit of the same.
 
Piramal has hived off its formulation business and hence could not be termed as a pure pharma play. I think sun is the best of the pack but the valuations are rich.
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subash1983
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Quote subash1983 Replybullet Posted: 09/Apr/2012 at 1:27pm
My latest portfolio.

Sold Divis lab, Axis Bank, and 50% of yes bank. Added Mayur uniquoter, Munjal auto and setco auto.

Stock Portfolio % Overall Gain %
Mayur Uniquoter (3) 17.0 9.7
Goodyear (2) 9.9 7.4
Zylog Systems (2) 9.5 11.2
Vivimed Labs  5.7 2.2
Indag Rubber  5.7 8.5
VST  5.6 33.2
Munjal Auto Ind  5.6 0.5
Kajaria Ceramic  5.3 4.6
Ajanta Pharma  5.2 4.4
Amara Raja Batt  5.0 16.2
Balkrishna Ind  4.7 5.2
Setco Auto  4.3 1.7
Cravatex  4.2 -2.7
Yes Bank  4.1 13.6
Lupin  4.1 19.4
eClerx Services  4.0 -0.8

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subash1983
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Quote subash1983 Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 5:05pm
Sold eClerx, and Yes Bank.

Added more Mayur Uniquoter, Page Industry, Kaveri Seeds, La Opala RG, and Alembic Pharma

Stock Portfolio % Overall Gain %
Mayur Uniquoter (4) 17.5 5.3
Goodyear (2) 8.5 13.5
Zylog Systems (2) 7.8 12.7
VST  5.2 50.9
Indag Rubber  5.1 18.4
Vivimed Labs  4.9 7.4
Munjal Auto Ind  4.9 8.1
Bata India  4.8 3.2
Kajaria Ceramic  4.4 7.2
Ajanta Pharma  4.4 7.6
Amara Raja Batt  4.2 18.1
Balkrishna Ind  4.0 7.9
Cravatex  3.8 6.4
Kaveri Seed Co  3.7 10.6
Setco Auto  3.5 1.0
Lupin  3.4 23.2
La Opala RG  3.4 -1.5
Alembic Pharma  3.3 1.7
Page Industries  3.2 -1.0

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Quote coolcarney Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 6:38pm
Any particular reason for selling Yes Bank? Won't the rate cut help Yes? I am just trying to understand.
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subash1983
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Quote subash1983 Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 7:24pm
Originally posted by coolcarney

Any particular reason for selling Yes Bank? Won't the rate cut help Yes? I am just trying to understand.


I am extremely skeptical of any and everything touched/influenced by our dear govt of India, and their pervasive policy (be it bank, infra). Basically I want to make my investment as less dependent on policy decisions by our extremely educated and still silently remote controlled PM and his folks.

Also I want my investment to be as less correlated with sensex as possible.

I also don't know how to value banking/finance stock (other than the fact that they are done via P/B ratio, but don't know how to see P/B ratio and tell how good the bank is for investing)

So I sold all my banking stocks.

So I have switched to slightly lesser known, mid/small cap companies with low/zero debt-to-equity ratio, and a consistent ROE >20 for last 3 year (and estimated ROE > 20 for coming 2 years), and PEGY ratio less than 1. As per my analysis such companies have outperformed market like anything in last 2 years (I have checked around 30-40 companies). (1 year return ~70% and 2 yr return ~150%).

I don't see such return opportunity in any banking stocks.
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 7:38pm
Originally posted by subash1983

So I have switched to slightly lesser known, mid/small cap companies with low/zero debt-to-equity ratio, and a consistent ROE >20 for last 3 year (and estimated ROE > 20 for coming 2 years), and PEGY ratio less than 1. As per my analysis such companies have outperformed market like anything in last 2 years (I have checked around 30-40 companies). (1 year return ~70% and 2 yr return ~150%).I don't see such return opportunity in any banking stocks.


Can you put up a list of such companies which you studied? Or any noteworthy companies which caught your eye?
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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subash1983
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Quote subash1983 Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 10:11pm
Originally posted by hit2710

Originally posted by subash1983

So I have switched to slightly lesser known, mid/small cap companies with low/zero debt-to-equity ratio, and a consistent ROE >20 for last 3 year (and estimated ROE > 20 for coming 2 years), and PEGY ratio less than 1. As per my analysis such companies have outperformed market like anything in last 2 years (I have checked around 30-40 companies). (1 year return ~70% and 2 yr return ~150%).I don't see such return opportunity in any banking stocks.


Can you put up a list of such companies which you studied? Or any noteworthy companies which caught your eye?











Return
Stock ROE-10 ROE-11 ROE-12E ROE-13E ROE-avg Div Yeild PE-curr 1/PEGY 1-yr 2-yr
Indag Rubber 32 24 20 20 24.0 1.8 6.3 4.1 99 90
Mayur Uniquoter 38 41 33 28 35.0 2.0 9.2 4.0 70 199
Munjal Auto 21 25 20 20 21.5 2.8 6.5 3.7 121 145
Setco Auto 25 35 25 25 27.5 1.9 8.6 3.4 64 124
eClerx 37 51 43 34 41.3 3.0 13.7 3.2 -3 113
Zylog System 18 20 22 20 20.0 1.3 7.0 3.0 50 45
Balakrishna 32 23 24 25 26.0 0.5 10.7 2.5 97 109
Ajanta Pharma 20 25 25 24 23.5 1.0 10.0 2.5 143 170
Amar Raja Battery 33 25 25 23 26.5 1.5 13 2.2 60 84
La Opala RG 11 21 25 25 20.5 1.4 10.8 2.0 75 186
Goodyear 31 22 25 28 26.5 1.7 14.3 2.0 29 28
Kajaria 29 32 33 32 31.5 1.1 17.0 1.9 127 179
Butterfly Gandhimati 57 37 37 37 42.0 0.3 23.6 1.8 103 331
VST Industry 25 36 36 30 31.8 3.5 21.3 1.7 150 201
foseco 27 30 26 23 26.5 2.4 18.0 1.6 47 94
Nestle 96 75 47 36 63.5 1.0 42.8 1.5 23 69
DFM Foods 26 37 26 26 28.8 0.9 20.6 1.4 98 95
FAG Bearing 21 24 21 19 21.3 0.6 15.6 1.4 96 216
Kaveri Seeds 19 22 20 20 20.25 0.4 14.9 1.4 76 106
WABCO 29 33 28 24 28.5 0.3 21.1 1.4 61 134
Bata India 24 33 29 29 28.8
23.0 1.3 105 242
Page Industry 40 48 43 34 41.3
35.0 1.2 68 241
Vivimed Lab 15 18 21 21 18.8 0.5 17.5 1.1 50 161
CRISIL 39 44 40 40 40.8 1.0 40.1 1.0 67 99
Cravtex 21 27 21 21 22.5 0.6 23.3 1.0 174 598
Lupin 37 30 27 29 30.8 0.5 31.6 1.0 29 65
BOSCH 21 24 22 20 21.8 0.5 22.9 1.0 22 71
Gujrat Reclaim                    
Alembic Pharma































Average 30.5 31.9 28.3 26.4 29.3
18.5 2.0 77.8 155.4

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TCSer
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Quote TCSer Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2012 at 10:46pm
hOW N WHICH FILTER DID U USED?
Share market is nothing but a game of temperament. Success mantra Right Price,Right Business,Patience, Conviction .Do not do panic buying or selling.It may be the only profession where inactivity pays
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