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Poll Question: Look at the graphic carefully identify the current position!
Poll Choice Votes Poll Statistics
14 [22.22%]
6 [9.52%]
4 [6.35%]
10 [15.87%]
15 [23.81%]
14 [22.22%]
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 10:36am
Originally posted by investor

ha ha, nice pic! I think its gone into a coma, will wake up after a few years(hopefully!) LOL
 
 
New kid, Dr Obama, is performing the surgery. Hope he may succeed in few years time.
 
 
Fund Management is Most Important
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 10:38am
Originally posted by rakeshmehta48

Originally posted by investor

ha ha, nice pic! I think its gone into a coma, will wake up after a few years(hopefully!) LOL
 
 
New kid, Dr Obama, is performing the surgery. Hope he may succeed in few years time.
 
 


Initial tests suggest that the bull was full of ....  bull.
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 10:39am
54% votes for despair + capitulation.
 
I feel, we have not reached the capitulation stage.
 
My vote was for bull trap.
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 10:42am
Hitesh bhai,
 
aap ka msg. mere upar se nikal gaya.
 
bull was full of........    What?
Fund Management is Most Important
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 10:57am
Originally posted by rakeshmehta48

54% votes for despair + capitulation.
I feel, we have not reached the capitulation stage.
My vote was for bull trap.


I see....





A small query: Have we seen en masse mutual redemptions by retail investors yet?




Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 11:13am
The chart looks great, but are we already thro the "blow off stage" My guess is "no"
 
As for "en masse mutual redemptions by ratail investors yet" my guess is again "no" though I may be wrong here. You may kindly enlighten me on this.
 
In any case, capitulation seems bit away to me.
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 11:37am
Originally posted by rakeshmehta48

Hitesh bhai,
 
aap ka msg. mere upar se nikal gaya.
 
bull was full of........    What?


Rakeshji, this was my attempt at a joke Big%20smile!

See, bull run we all know. But in slang, bull also means nakli or untrue. So, I meant that this bull run was (at least towards the end) filled more with hope or false expectation rather than anything real. That is why the bull (run) had to die or go into coma or collapse.
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investor
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Quote investor Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 11:52am
From whatever i have seen or heard, the answer is a big NO.

Most of the funds are sitting on lot of cash position, which they got into thinking there would be lot of redemption pressure, but not many have started pulling out yet. A MF agent whom i know was telling me the other
day that people are actually still(!!!) putting in money - he hasnt seen
much difference between his turnover 6 months ago and now.

So we are far from capitulation, people still buying means long way to go.

Another indicator which i use, based on my own experience during the crash of 2001, is my own self interest - though i have stopped logging on
to my moneycontrol portfolio and news updates, i still am reading ET, watching CNBC every now and then, and logging onto TED. As things become worse, people tend to start losing interest to track news stories, so this stops. And when i stop logging onto TED(or not having any interest to do so), that would probably indicate the lows of the low! Wink

Originally posted by kulman

Originally posted by rakeshmehta48

54% votes for despair + capitulation.
I feel, we have not reached the capitulation stage.
My vote was for bull trap.


I see....





A small query: Have we seen en masse mutual redemptions by retail investors yet?




The market is a place where people with money meet people with experience.
The people with experience get the money while people with money get experience!
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