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Hotel Leela : Lame duck or dark horse?

Printed From: The Equity Desk
Category: Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios!
Forum Name: Stock Synopsis
Forum Discription: A bried discussion of companies on very specific matters. Normally this is the prelude for further research as always members would be discussing quality companies with good management only
URL: http://www.theequitydesk.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=1085
Printed Date: 21/Apr/2025 at 4:32pm


Topic: Hotel Leela : Lame duck or dark horse?
Posted By: Krishna
Subject: Hotel Leela : Lame duck or dark horse?
Date Posted: 17/Jul/2007 at 12:46pm

Guys, I am puzzled. Under the prevailing economical conditions this stock should have delivered steller performance. It has been flat almost for an year now. The company seem to have got everything right. Great brand, Great locations, Great occupancy rates.... and upcoming Great projects. But why this stock is not delivering?

Here is an excerpt from recent press release of Leela group.
 
Standard & Poor, the most respected name in performance ratings, spotted 300 Companies world-wide that can pose a challenge to the world's leading Companies in their respective fields. In India Standard & Poor identified seven Companies last year and eight this year to include the Leela.

The report noted their Indian equity in the universe of listed stocks is less than 396.

Last year three Indian commercial banks featured in the Standard & Poor rating. This year no bank is listed. Standard & Poor drew up this year's list on the basis of market capitalization which has to be in the range of $ 500 million to $ 5 billion. They also need to post price appreciation for three years in a row. These Companies also need to post a growth in their earnings per share and the number of employees.

The Leela has grown by leaps and bounds in the last three years with luxury hotels in Mumbai, Bangalore, Goa, Kovalam Beach and Delhi. It has acquired prime property in the Diplomatic Enclave in New Delhi at a cost of Rs 611 crores for a super luxury seven-star hotel besides new projects at Gurgaon, Udaipur, Chennai, Hyderabad and Pune. All these will come up and be operational between 2007 and 2010.



Replies:
Posted By: Rinku
Date Posted: 17/Jul/2007 at 5:55am
HIGHLY underperformer.I am stuck here.


Posted By: Rinku
Date Posted: 17/Jul/2007 at 5:55am
Infact all the hotel stocks


Posted By: manishdave
Date Posted: 17/Jul/2007 at 6:18am

But why this stock is not delivering?
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It already has delivered big time(for me & US121). I rode BPO boom on back of Hotel Leela instead of BPO company. Entered at 20 exited completely betn 300-350 before split.
Reason I entered was room rates could not go lower $ occupancy could not go lower. Reason I exited is rates were already very high and occupany was almost 100% so no upside there. Only growth could be huge capex so not super return and there were other opportunities.

Only refurbishment of Mumbai, Bangalore properties should be completed by now, other Hotel projects may take couple of years more. Not much growth in operation till then. Couple of commercial projects may complete next year.



Posted By: CHINKI
Date Posted: 18/Jul/2007 at 2:49pm
Absolutely right Manish. I had these stocks till last week. But future does not seems to be bright. Because:

- 53% of revenues comes from Leela Bangalore where the Av. Room Rate is highest in the country. Occupancy is also more than 80%. Hence nothing much can be expected here

- other than Bangalore and Mumbai where they have done refurbishing, fresh rooms are not going added till 2008/09

- the New Delhi plot which they have bought at one of the highest rate will take minimum 12 to 13 years to breakeven after it starts

- it has very high gross gearing (200%-incl.o/s FCCBs of US $170mn plus major capex plans

- Growth (16.5%)in revenues for the last financial year is not satsifactory

- EBITDA margins are down by .7%

But its current CMP is less than its BV

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TOUGH TIMES NEVER LAST, BUT TOUGH PEOPLE DO


Posted By: Vivek Sukhani
Date Posted: 18/Aug/2007 at 1:06pm
Also, FCCB conversion price sets out at Rs. 62 at that euro level. And the most terrible part is the company is not providing for interest on FCCB. I beleive it should be provided upfront by deducting from share premium or at least pro-rata by apporting the yield over the period. I find Oriental to be a better bet, although hotels as a space is totally untouchable for me....


Posted By: manishdave
Date Posted: 18/Aug/2007 at 9:33pm
They were supposed to recive huge amout(may be 150+ Cr) from hudco as per court verdict. Any news on that? I lost track on this company after selling....


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 18/Aug/2007 at 10:35pm
Hotels like hospitals and schools have quite similar business models. They need capex for volume growth. Companies like Viceroy where the capex has been put up but is yet to convert itself in terms of revenues are OK but in several other cases these business models are cyclical.
 
Does any one have any idea of people making tonnes of money in schools/college and hospital stocks - the ones with physical infrastructure. Apollo is one education company in the US that runs the CFP program and is valued at US $ 13 billion but have never seen a big mkt cap company running physical schools and colleges.


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Posted By: Vivek Sukhani
Date Posted: 18/Aug/2007 at 9:18am
Originally posted by CHINKI

Absolutely right Manish. I had these stocks till last week. But future does not seems to be bright. Because:

- 53% of revenues comes from Leela Bangalore where the Av. Room Rate is highest in the country. Occupancy is also more than 80%. Hence nothing much can be expected here

- other than Bangalore and Mumbai where they have done refurbishing, fresh rooms are not going added till 2008/09

- the New Delhi plot which they have bought at one of the highest rate will take minimum 12 to 13 years to breakeven after it starts

- it has very high gross gearing (200%-incl.o/s FCCBs of US $170mn plus major capex plans

- Growth (16.5%)in revenues for the last financial year is not satsifactory

- EBITDA margins are down by .7%

But its current CMP is less than its BV
 
I doubt whether this stock is less than its book value. As per my calculations its coming out to be 24.34. I would like to clarify here that I dont go by NAV or Market Capitalisation in my calculation as in my opinion the book value simply means the price of net assets held by you, expressed at a price financed by you......


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 20/Apr/2011 at 11:40am
is it time to relook into this company!!!!
any update ?
 


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 20/Apr/2011 at 11:42am
 
Market Cap 1642.44 * EPS (TTM) 0.93 * P/E 45.54 * P/C 15.74
* Book Value 53.02 * Price/Book 0.80 Div(%) 10.00% * Div Yield(%) 0.47
Market Lot 1.00 Face Value 2.00 Industry P/E 38.50


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 20/Apr/2011 at 11:46am

Hotel Leelaventure in talks with four PE firms: report

India Infoline News Service / 09:11 , Mar 15, 2011

The report stated that Post-equity sale, promoters holding in the firm will come down to 50.5% from 55%.

Hotel Leelaventure has reportedly said that it is in talks with four private equity players to sell 14.9% equity in order to raise Rs. 6bn.

The report stated that Post-equity sale, promoters holding in the firm will come down to 50.5% from 55%.

Earlier this month, board decided to offer 14.95% of its enhanced capital to prospective investors by issue of fresh equity shares, adds report.



Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 20/Apr/2011 at 11:49am
600 crs for 14.95 crs
ie valuation for 100 % is 600*14.95/100 = 4013 crs
Current Market cap - 1642 Crs
 
????
 
 


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 21/Apr/2011 at 12:12pm
Expansion Plans Thumbs%20Up
 
New Delhi
Expected Completion Date Q2FY11
Proposed Location Chanakyapuri, New Delhi
Category 5-star deluxe
No. of Rooms 260
Business Model Owned and operated
Current Status Under construction
 
Chennai
Expected Completion Date Q1FY12
Proposed Location MRC Nagar, Adyar, Chennai
Category 5-star deluxe
No. of Rooms 332
Business Model Owned and operated
Current Status Under construction
Immediate Plans
 
Agra
Proposed Location Near TajMahal
No. of Rooms 80
Current Status Land acquired
Long term plans
 
Hyderabad
Proposed Location Banjara
Hills, Hyderabad
No. of Rooms 360
Current Status Land acquired
 


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 21/Apr/2011 at 12:13pm
Disclosure : i have currenly no holding in this company..


Posted By: bearish
Date Posted: 21/Apr/2011 at 1:11pm
The Chanakyapuri Leela, New Delhi had a press preview launch on this Monday. It's opened.


Posted By: dilip.r
Date Posted: 21/Apr/2011 at 2:58pm
interest burden is still a matter of concern...


Posted By: richard123hopes
Date Posted: 19/May/2011 at 1:15am
Hotel Leela Lame duck evoke the rich heritage of the past. Antique wealthy Regal atmosphere combined with modern technology for business and leisure tourists welcome.


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