VBC FERRO ALLOYS-HIDDEN VALUE?
HI ALL,
THIS IS A REPORT PREPARED FROM INPUTS FROM DIFFERENT RECOMMENDATIONS AND I WOULD LIKE TO INVITE COMMENTS ABOUT THE MERITS OF INVESTMENT IN VBC FERRO BECAUSE THE RECOMMENDATION REPORTS DATE BACK TO 2006 AND THE IPO IS YET TO HIT THE MARKET, SO THERE MUST BE SOME SNAG . IF ANYBODY HAS ANY MORE INFO ABOUT THIS STOCK PLEASE SHARE IT.
VBC FERRO ALLOYS.
IT IS A COMPANY WHICH MANUFACTURES Ferro Silicon and Silico Manganese . OUTSTANDING SHARES 41.95 lakh SHARES.
VBC Ferro Alloys had promoted Konaseema Gas Power Ltd. (KGPL) in East Godavari
District. KGPL is Gas Based Power Project which has in Phase-I, already
implemented 445 MW Power Plant. Plant for the same has been supplied by
Siemens. EPC is by L&T and O&M is by NTPC. As on date, VBC Ferro is holding
13.43 cr. shares at a cost of Rs. 134.30 crs. being 27.91% Equity of KGPL. Other
share holders of KGPL are:
L & T 5.06 %
ILFS 6.75 %
LIC 4.82 %
GIC 4.82 %
INTL POWER VISION 2.01 %
TIFOI 8.89 %
Project cost of Phase-I was 1383 crs. Phase-I was ready for commissioning in
2006 but could not be commissioned due to delay in gas supply from RIL. As a
result, project cost stands increased to around 2000 crs(due to interest burden for
more than 2 years). Now, KGPL has embarked on Phase-II which involves setting up of
820 MW Plant at a cost of Rs. 2782 crs. which works out to Rs. 3.39 cr.per MW.
D.E. Ratio will be 4:1. Phase-II is likely to be implemented by April 2011.
Phase-II is being erected at the existing site to avail of ready infrastructure
Due delay in supply of gas from AP Govt, Konaseema has been granted some
concessions to compensate for interest loss being suffered by the company for the
delayed period. Earlier, Konaseema was supposed to supply entire power to
APTRANSCO @ Rs 2.10 per unit. However, subsequently, Govt has permitted to sell
25% power of Phase-1 in open market. Company has signed an agreement with
Karnataka Electricity Board to supply @ 3.65/ per unit.
For Phase-II, company has inked agreement with PTC @ Rs 2.25 for 25% capacity,
another 25% with Karnataka Govt @ 3.65 per unit. Balance 50% power sale can be
finalised within 1 year of financial closure. KGPL is ideally located as it is hardly 15
Km. from K.G. Basin.
HIDDEN VALUE IN COMPANY’S HOLDING IN KONASEEMA
L&T is providing 66 cr. deferred payment credit. For Phase II, last year Lehman and
an Indian infrastructure finance company had agreed to take Equity in Konaseema @
Rs. 60/- per share to pump USD 75 million. However, due to Lehman bankruptcy, deal did not go through .
If, holding of VBC Ferro in KGPL is valued at price of
Rs. 60/-, 13.43 cr. shares of VBC Ferro get a value of Rs. 806 crs.
This works out to Rs. 1920/- per share whereas CMP of VBC Ferro is
just 15% -20 % of same. It remains to be seen when the IPO of
Konaseema comes and at what valuations the share does manage
to get. Adani IPO may set some benchmark on valuations of similar
power IPOs.
Konaseema may come out with IPO which could unlock value of VBC Ferro’s holding. IPO of Konaseema can be attractive because:
1. KSK Energy (another BSE listed company) has huge Equity of Rs. 346 crs.,
current market price Rs. 180/-. KSK holds Equity stake in some power projects,
stake ranging from 49% to 74%. 144 MW equivalent power projects have been
commissioned and another 131 MW likely to be commissioned soon. It may be
noted that KSK does not have 100% stake in these projects and still market cap of
KSK is more than Rs. 6000 crs. Thus, on peer comparison, Konaseema should
command much higher valuations.
2. Strong pedigree (marquee of existing investors)
3. Gas based power plant like Konaseema will be at great advantage as gas price is
fixed for 5 years whereas thermal power plants (its competitors) will continue to pay
higher n higher coal prices each coming year.
4. By the time IPO hits market, Konaseema will be a profit-making company.
5. Konaseema will be eligible for carbon credits as well.
VBC Ferro also holds 60 lakh shares in Orissa Power Corporation which is
implementing 100 MW Hydel Power Plant out of which 20 MW may start operations in
next 3 months. This investment may also have market value of nearly 60 crs.
Further, VBC Ferro is investing money in another company which is implementing 45
MW Thermal Power Plant which will supply power to VBC Ferro at concessional rates
to bring down power cost of VBC Ferro.
In fact, KGPL IPO may turn out to be successful considering giants like L&T, ILFS, IDBI, GIC, LIC, Australian Funds are share holder of KGPL
(very few companies will have such a big list of renowned investors). KGPL has
settled for the best in all respects as Siemens, L&T, NTPC are also associated with
it for plant and its erection.
Edited by hit2710 - 23/Jul/2009 at 2:32pm