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Equity Valuation Techniques
 The Equity Desk Forum :Market Strategies :Equity Valuation Techniques
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 05/Sep/2009 at 2:12pm
And so does Arjun Narayana Murthy.
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manish_okhade
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Quote manish_okhade Replybullet Posted: 05/Sep/2009 at 8:52pm
In my humble opinion value lies in all stocks. People mostly confuse that if they buy cheap stock and wait till it becomes expensive. True but if you play this game with lesser known companies then its a risk and outcomes is more of a gamble. Coomon investor does not know the dynamic of board room games.
 
I feel its always preferable to be patient for growth and solid stocks to fall to the level that it becomes a value. Of course again to what extent it falls to become a value is a very subjective matter and definitly calls for expertise.
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prabhakarkudva
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Quote prabhakarkudva Replybullet Posted: 05/Sep/2009 at 11:16am
I think most value traps would be when a business is available for less than what it was available anytime before in its history and people find it cheap at a given time when compared to its historical PE.This leads them to believe that the prices will revert back to normal.

The trap lies in the fact that there is a real change in fundamentals that the market is pricing in, but the investor is not able to figure that out and keeps waiting almost forever .
Take your chances and keep them in a box until a quieter time.
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Vrishali
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Quote Vrishali Replybullet Posted: 05/Sep/2009 at 11:59am
From Investopedia

What Does Value Trap Mean?

A stock that has experienced a large price depreciation and is mistaken to be a value stock.

The Low Multiple Value Trap
Companies that have been trading at low multiples of earnings, cash flow or book value for an extended period of time are sometimes doing so for good reason - because they have little promise - and possibly no future.

Lack of Catalysts
Companies and stocks need catalysts in order to advance. If a company doesn't have new products on the horizon or expect to show earnings growth or momentum of some kind,consider avoiding it.

Small Floats
Companies with a small float or with few shares that trade in the public domain are unlikely to garner institutional attention because those investors will have trouble acquiring and ultimately disposing of large quantities of stock. When institutions cannot participate in a stock, the shares tend to languish; by extension, they may become a "value trap".

Tightly Held Companies
Many institutions and entities that can move stocks (ie. mutual funds and hedge funds) will usually not get involved in a company if it has a high percentage of insider ownership. If insiders own a high percentage of the shares, the investing institution may not be able to influence the board of directors or to have a say on corporate governance issues. This lack of institutional interest could cause a stock to seriously languish

Bottom Line
Although a company may seem like an attractive investment candidate because of a low multiple, unless it has catalysts on the horizon, interested institutional investors, insider incentives and ample floats, the stock could lead you into a value trap.

"Diversification is a protection against ignorance. It makes little sense for those who know what they're doing."
- Warren Buffet
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