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 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 16/Aug/2009 at 10:04am
The eps expected for fy 10 is conservatively around 15-16 and the order book at end of q1 fy10 was around 48 crore.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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kumardiwesh
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Quote kumardiwesh Replybullet Posted: 17/Aug/2009 at 6:42pm
The company's tax rate is around 34%.
So earnings are definitely real.
There has been no equity dilution for the last 6 years, which is very impressive.
Debt/equity has been coming down.
So interest expense will be lowered even further.
Can anyone point out the interest expense for FY09?
"History does not tell you the probability of future financial things happening" - Warren Buffett
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 17/Aug/2009 at 7:01pm
In consolidated results interest cost for fy09 was 108.86 lakhs versus 127.2 lakhs for fy08
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EquityInv
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Quote EquityInv Replybullet Posted: 17/Aug/2009 at 2:50am
Originally posted by hit2710

The eps expected for fy 10 is conservatively around 15-16 and the order book at end of q1 fy10 was around 48 crore.


Thanks hit..

That's almost stable EPS w.r.t FY09 [Rs.14].

In Q1 FY10, even sales decreased by 30%, their NP is almost stable mainly because of decrease in interest cost. Did they improved their debt:equity ratio? Any idea of debt as on March'09 [can't find it anywhere]..
One of the best rules anybody can learn about investing is to do nothing, absolutely nothing, unless there is something to do – James Rogers
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 17/Aug/2009 at 8:43am
As far as I can make out the time for almost 50 % growth in net profits is not now. I believe the company will increase profits by around 10-20 percent for next two years, but the stock is available at valuations of around 3 and little debt.

Because the lower growth is factored into the stock price, any upside surprise will push up the price.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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EquityInv
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Quote EquityInv Replybullet Posted: 19/Aug/2009 at 8:06am
Originally posted by hit2710

As far as I can make out the time for almost 50 % growth in net profits is not now. I believe the company will increase profits by around 10-20 percent for next two years, but the stock is available at valuations of around 3 and little debt.

Because the lower growth is factored into the stock price, any upside surprise will push up the price.


Yeah, FY10 seems okay for patel airtemp. But 10-20% growth should be good enough. Looking at their size, it's good to see that atleast they kept growing in this recession also [FY09]..
But they should maiintain their march ahead in future depending on recovery in Indian infra's.


Edited by EquityInv - 19/Aug/2009 at 8:07am
One of the best rules anybody can learn about investing is to do nothing, absolutely nothing, unless there is something to do – James Rogers
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 20/Aug/2009 at 1:29pm
Their performance in fy09 during difficult times gave me a lot of confidence in the company. And most of the times promoters are soaking up stock from market through their arm thermflow engineers.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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subu76
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Quote subu76 Replybullet Posted: 20/Aug/2009 at 2:00am
Hit Bhai, where do you get this data from yaar?
 
I am unable to see anything related in the bseindia.com insider trading page.
 
Also, any idea how i can see all the insider trades over the last one month or so.
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