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 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
Message Icon Topic: Bajaj Electricals - Time to turn the ligh Post Reply Post New Topic
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Jaishrikrishna
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Quote Jaishrikrishna Replybullet Posted: 04/Aug/2010 at 9:05am
I have seen the other thread, nothing much there, these seems to be, where it all started, hence posted here.

RGds.
Don't Buy and Hold, Buy and Homework / Fish see the bait,but not the hook; Men see the profit, but not the peril.
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Jaishrikrishna
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Quote Jaishrikrishna Replybullet Posted: 05/Aug/2010 at 4:18pm
Has anybody gone through the annual report of this company for A.Y.2009-10.
Don't Buy and Hold, Buy and Homework / Fish see the bait,but not the hook; Men see the profit, but not the peril.
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 21/Jul/2011 at 12:05pm

BAJAJ ELECTRICALS

CMP 240 

MARKET CAP 2382 CRORES

THE COMPANY HAS FOLLOWING MAIN BUSINESS UNITS

ELECTRICAL PROJECTS, APPLIANCES, FANS, LUMINARIES, LIGHTING.

APPLIANCES AND FANS CONTRIBUTE 25% AND 19% REVENUES RESPECTIVELY.

ONE THIRD REVENUES COMES FROM LIGHTING AND ELECTRICAL PROJECTS DIVISION.

 

 

LAST FIVE YEARS RESULTS

 

YEAR

07

08

09

10

11

SALES

1114

1404

1788

2249

2765

OP

93

153

189

246

265

NP

38

73

89

120

147

EPS

4.33

8.18

10

11.61

14.09

ROCE

28

39

42

43.6

37.6

 

At cmp of around 240, the stock is trading at 17 times trailing earnings.

I think the sharp correction in last two-three days has been due to the “Crompton effect” where the consumer division of Crompton supposedly did not perform well and has raised fears that other similar companies also might face the same fate. 

 

The big question here seems to be what kind of growth Bajaj Electricals will show in face of stiff competition from players like CG, Havells, Orient, Anchor, Vguard etc. 

 

Personally I don’t see this one growing at 30-40% like other consumer companies like page, Hawkins, ttk prestige etc. I think this one would grow at a more sedate 15-20% kind of growth.

 

VIEWS INVITED.

 

 

Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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kailasp4u
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Quote kailasp4u Replybullet Posted: 21/Jul/2011 at 12:59pm
Hitji,
So far so good. But what happens when technology changes? Earlier we had incandescent, then fluoroscent, then CFL, now LED.
Although, in industrial segment, sodium vapour, mercury vapour, metal hallide (MH) remains for long unless there is some really superior technology (future could be LED, MH was latest). I still wonder, MIC Electronics being leader in LED segment has gone to dogs (may be due to mismanagement), how Bajaj or others can use it advantageously? Lot depends on adoption to new technologies.
knp
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rajnsharma
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Quote rajnsharma Replybullet Posted: 21/Jul/2011 at 2:20am
Originally posted by hit2710

Personally I don’t see this one growing at 30-40% like other consumer companies like page, Hawkins, ttk prestige etc. I think this one would grow at a more sedate 15-20% kind of growth


Absolutely agree that this will be steady 15-20% compounder for long term. However, it will weaknesses on the journey, which can used to ride a 25% plus growth.
Wall Street makes money by it's activity, while you can make money by your in-activity - Warren Buffett
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vittapoint
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Quote vittapoint Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 12:29pm
commonmanji where are u?
profit fallen by 50%
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commnman
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Quote commnman Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 12:41pm
Here I am

Total Income up 12.5% to 544.25 Cr from 483.87 Cr.
EBIDTA DOWN 26% to 30.16 Cr from 40.8 Cr.
Net Profit DOWN DOWN 50.1% to 11.06 Cr from 22.5 Cr.

EBIDTA margin is 5.5% V/s 8.4% (JQ-10) and 10.4% (MQ-11)
NET Pr margin is 2% V/s 4.7% (JQ-10) and 5.9% (MQ-11)

Raw material costs as a %ge to Income is 75.5% V/s 76.5% (JQ-10) and 78% (MQ-11)
Employee costs stable
Other expenses to Income %ge is 13.1% v/s 10.2% (JQ-10) and 8.3% (MQ-11)

What really caused the damage?
Interest expenses that up 88% to 10.67 Cr from 5.7 Cr
Interest burden now has eaten into EBIT to the extent of 39.4% v/s 14.8% (JQ-10) and 6.6% (MQ-11)

If digged bit deep and looked into segments:

Lighting division doing very well but on a low base where income up 16% and PBIT up 180%
COnsumer durables division hasn't disappointed either where sales up 15.3% and PBIT up 16%

What disappointed is engineering & projects: Sales up 3% but made a LOSS of 7.63 Cr v/s a profit of 11.35 cr (JQ-10) and a profit of 39.6 Cr (MQ-11)

Jab main chota bachha tha
baheit shararat kartha tha
meri chori pakadi jathi...
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main toh aam aadmi hun... jo sunta hoon wohi sach maanta hoon
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Jaishrikrishna
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Quote Jaishrikrishna Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 1:32pm
Originally posted by commnman


Jab main chota bachha tha
baheit shararat kartha tha
meri chori pakadi jathi...
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Andhera hota BAJAJ.

Edited by Jaishrikrishna - 28/Jul/2011 at 1:33pm
Don't Buy and Hold, Buy and Homework / Fish see the bait,but not the hook; Men see the profit, but not the peril.
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