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Global Economies - Where are they going?
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Global Economies - Where are they going?
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PrashantS
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Quote PrashantS Replybullet Posted: 10/Apr/2008 at 4:15pm
can it appreciate a lot more this time say 90?
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 10/Apr/2008 at 6:21pm
Originally posted by BubbleVision


Other than that, ISK (15%) and TRY (18% i think) have very high yields. However, with these there is a chance of a capital loss, incase these countries default.
 
Fwiw...ISK rates are now at 15.50%. The certral bank there raised rates by 0.50% today (again) at an unscheduled meeting for the second time intra-month, to try and save the currency.
 
 
You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 10/Apr/2008 at 7:20pm
Originally posted by BubbleVision

Fwiw...ISK rates are now at 15.50%. The certral bank there raised rates by 0.50% today (again) at an unscheduled meeting for the second time intra-month, to try and save the currency.
 
 
 
ZAR (South African Rand) boyz are following ISK kids!
 
*(SA) SOUTH AFRICA RAISES INTEREST RATES BY 50BPS TO 11.50%, NOT EXPECTED

- Central bank was expected to hold interest rates steady at 11.00%

- Central Banker Mboweni says there are signs that household spending is responding to tighter monetary policy; Expects global FX rates to stay volatile

- Says scenario is 'bad' if there is a large price increase in electricity

You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 10/Apr/2008 at 7:40pm
Originally posted by BubbleVision

*(SA) SOUTH AFRICA RAISES INTEREST RATES BY 50BPS TO 11.50%, NOT EXPECTED
 
South African Central Bank Governor Mboweni says after hiking rates........"Things are very, very bad and we must pray" !
 
LOL!!!
 
Rembember that South Africa is a commodity producer and they are saying these things...HAHAHA!!!
 
Just pray!!!Tongue
 
 
 
 


Edited by BubbleVision - 10/Apr/2008 at 7:41pm
You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 10/Apr/2008 at 5:17am
Originally posted by PrashantS

can it appreciate a lot more this time say 90?
 
Quite possible.
Next time, whenever it breaks 95 level, the move after that may be very rapid and it can easily cross 90.
 
One has to keep an eye on S&P. If it closes below 1339 for three consecutive days, then yen move is very much on the cards.
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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 25/Jan/2009 at 7:11pm
JPY has achieved it's target of below 90 and seems to have stablized in 85-90 range, but now it's hurting Japanees economy a lot.
 
Chances of BOJ intervention are high now, specially since most of the carry trades must have been unwounded by now and resistance may not be that much.
 
JPY may race towards 100 level (Means Yen weakening)
Any expert opinion.
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 25/Jan/2009 at 8:16am
Japanese Housewives Desperate After Currency Scheme Collapses

Allied LLC, an Osaka-based asset manager, is under investigation on suspicion it bilked Japanese investors, mostly housewives, using a currency trading fund

Allied, which promised risk-free returns of as much as 5 percent a month, may have operated as a Ponzi scheme,

....investors were told they would receive a finder's fee for introducing new clients.

Currency trading emerged in recent years as an outlet for thrifty housewives in Japan, whom traders came to refer to as "Mrs. Watanabes," looking to make extra money.

They specialized in carry trades, where investors get funds in countries with low borrowing costs and buy assets in countries with higher rates, earning the spread between the two. The risk is that currency moves erase those profits.


Baap re!

When it's too good to be true, it probably is.

While trying to earn from the carry trade spread
Housewives are now worried about daily bread!



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rakeshmehta48
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Quote rakeshmehta48 Replybullet Posted: 09/Feb/2009 at 8:32pm
Originally posted by rakeshmehta48

JPY has achieved it's target of below 90 and seems to have stablized in 85-90 range, but now it's hurting Japanees economy a lot.
 
Chances of BOJ intervention are high now, specially since most of the carry trades must have been unwounded by now and resistance may not be that much.
 
JPY may race towards 100 level (Means Yen weakening)
Any expert opinion.
 
 
JPY has since weekened to 92 level.
Chances of 100 level are bright, specially if US stock markets stabalize a bit.
 
Fund Management is Most Important
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