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subodhr
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Joined: 16/Apr/2010
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Posts: 57
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   Topic: Are in bear market again? When will bottom come?
Posted: 14/May/2012 at 12:30pm |
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1. Crude oil above $100 per barrel
2. JP Morgan bad news
3. Yahoo CEO bad news
4. Indian inflation high
5. Indian Interest rates nearly at peak
6. Rupee at all time low compared to USD
7. Facebook IPO coming
8. Gold nearly all time high
9. Indian market every quarter (for last one and half year) is making lower low and lower high.
10. Indian market retracted from all time high in Nov 2010 and since then just receding.
11. Europe fear looming large
12. Top Indian banks have been downgraded
13. USA presidential elections coming this year end.
14. Elections due in some of key states in India later this year.
15. UK declared in double dip recession.
16. Lots of companies have started laying off (outside India)
What are these signs - Have we already entered in a bear market? Where is Bottom OR when will bottom be ended rather?
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I never sell on declining market and never buy on rising market.
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dr.sandip
Groupie
Joined: 07/Sep/2008
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 91
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Posted: 14/May/2012 at 1:26am |
Originally posted by subodhr
1. Crude oil above $100 per barrel
2. JP Morgan bad news
3. Yahoo CEO bad news
4. Indian inflation high
5. Indian Interest rates nearly at peak
6. Rupee at all time low compared to USD
7. Facebook IPO coming
8. Gold nearly all time high
9. Indian market every quarter (for last one and half year) is making lower low and lower high.
10. Indian market retracted from all time high in Nov 2010 and since then just receding.
11. Europe fear looming large
12. Top Indian banks have been downgraded
13. USA presidential elections coming this year end.
14. Elections due in some of key states in India later this year.
15. UK declared in double dip recession.
16. Lots of companies have started laying off (outside India)
What are these signs - Have we already entered in a bear market? Where is Bottom OR when will bottom be ended rather? |
I think, Indian markets are in a kind of bear market after topping out in Nov'10... I feel major indices are likely to retest our recent lows of Dec'11 in times to come.. It would be interesting to see if we can hold-on to those lows....If we cant hold-on to them, then any technical chartist will easily give u his own set of downside targets.. So stay frosty & more importantly stay invested and increasing equity exposure wont be a bad idea in current pessimistic environment !!
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Anything is possible because Everything is possible...
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prudentinvestor
Senior Member
Joined: 23/Jan/2011
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 453
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 4:39pm |
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Best time of invest for the long term.
Read the pages from Beating the street (Peter Lynch) after the 1987 crash in US what was the mood like and what happened in the following years.
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"All you need for a lifetime of successful investing is a few big winners, and the pluses from those will overwhelm the minuses from the stocks that don’t work out..” - Peter Lynch
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manish962
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Joined: 21/Feb/2010
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 87
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 5:22pm |
Originally posted by prudentinvestor
Best time of invest for the long term.
Read the pages from Beating the street (Peter Lynch) after the 1987 crash in US what was the mood like and what happened in the following years.
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Yes the best time to invest - when majority are fearful of doing so. But need to put in a staggered manner into carefully studied/selected stocks.
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manish962
Groupie
Joined: 21/Feb/2010
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 87
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 5:31pm |
Originally posted by subodhr
1. Crude oil above $100 per barrel
2. JP Morgan bad news
3. Yahoo CEO bad news
4. Indian inflation high
5. Indian Interest rates nearly at peak
6. Rupee at all time low compared to USD
7. Facebook IPO coming
8. Gold nearly all time high
9. Indian market every quarter (for last one and half year) is making lower low and lower high.
10. Indian market retracted from all time high in Nov 2010 and since then just receding.
11. Europe fear looming large
12. Top Indian banks have been downgraded
13. USA presidential elections coming this year end.
14. Elections due in some of key states in India later this year.
15. UK declared in double dip recession.
16. Lots of companies have started laying off (outside India)
What are these signs - Have we already entered in a bear market? Where is Bottom OR when will bottom be ended rather? |
Major risks for Indian Economy are : High Inflation, High Crude prices, High Interest Rates, Lack of policy reforms, Eurozone problems.
Ray of hope seen in : Interest rates going down from the peak, Crude prices softening, No Investor Frenzy, Valuations are not rich.
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gaurav12123
Senior Member
Joined: 17/Mar/2010
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 115
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 7:39pm |
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8. Gold nearly all time high
gold is 25% away form all time high in comex.
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When I Trade i Try To Earn Infinity.
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manishdave
Senior Member
Joined: 05/Aug/2006
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 1371
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 8:01pm |
Originally posted by subodhr
1. Crude oil above $100 per barrel
2. JP Morgan bad news
3. Yahoo CEO bad news
4. Indian inflation high
5. Indian Interest rates nearly at peak
6. Rupee at all time low compared to USD
7. Facebook IPO coming
8. Gold nearly all time high
9. Indian market every quarter (for last one and half year) is making lower low and lower high.
10. Indian market retracted from all time high in Nov 2010 and since then just receding.
11. Europe fear looming large
12. Top Indian banks have been downgraded
13. USA presidential elections coming this year end.
14. Elections due in some of key states in India later this year.
15. UK declared in double dip recession.
16. Lots of companies have started laying off (outside India)
What are these signs - Have we already entered in a bear market? Where is Bottom OR when will bottom be ended rather? |
Forget all these reasons. The only reason is THE family using remote control and our PM,FM are controlled remotely. Our problem is not USA or EU. Our problem is New Delhi. We were doing nicely and had chance to become preferred investment destination. But we kept on shooting in the foot, several times.
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LearningToFly
Senior Member
Joined: 22/Feb/2010
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 490
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Posted: 15/May/2012 at 9:02pm |
Right Manish but it is our habit to blame others "always" for our failure. Our jokers PM and FM have no idea about their own country and they belabor some crap about US and EU. I am sure US and EU will come out of their recession. India will have hard time. I doubt if India will ever get to see good growth.
Originally posted by manishdave
Forget all these reasons. The only reason is THE family using remote control and our PM,FM are controlled remotely. Our problem is not USA or EU. Our problem is New Delhi.
We were doing nicely and had chance to become preferred investment destination. But we kept on shooting in the foot, several times.
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Success... at all cost.
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