Apar industries:
Apar industries is what Savitha Chemicals does. I am not wasting the space here by repeating, one can easily check post on Savitha Chemicals for more details. Apar manufactures transformer cooling oils and condtion wires.
Its the promising valuation which i would like to share below:
CMP: 170
PE: 103 based on FY08-09 EPS
MCap: 550 Cr
Debt/Equity: 0.27
Free reserve/share: 72/-
FY09 FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05
Net Profit / Loss |
5.31 |
85.47 |
45.97 |
42.92 |
30.19 |
Business model: Apar imports the crude oil and after processing sales it to power companies. Power sector needs speciality oils as routine replacement so demand is continuous. Moreover power sector is opening up so in long run, demand for oil and conductor wires will definitly increase.
Business Risk: Heavily dependant on crude oil rates.
Valuations: As shown in above, Apar is a consistant profi grower except FY 09. Last year due to crash of crude oil price, Apar is forced to sale the inventory at lower rates which resulted in huge reduction of profit. But surprisingly sale was still higher than FY 08 that means it would been stupendous had oil price wouldnt have crashed.
Now Apar has inventory for FY 10 at reduced price plus crude has stablized too but much up from last year. Its resulted in last 2 qtrs giving good philip to the EPS. For last 2 qtrs EPS basis PE is 11.7 and assuming that its sustained or even lower still its safe to assume the full FY 10 EPS would be close to 20 which gives PE of 170/20 = 8.5 and it by any means cheap. But if growth continues then at best case EPS of 30 results in PE os 5.2!!!
Recently focus is shifting to small/mid cap because large cap is overvalued. Apr is good candidate for re-rating.