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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Topic: HEIDELBERG CEMENTS- A RERATING CANDIDATE
    Posted: 23/Aug/2009 at 11:17am

HEIDELBERG CEMENTS

 

Earlier known as Mysore Cements which was owned by Birlas, the company was taken over by Heidelberg group (which is one of the largest cement group in the world) in 2006 and renamed Heidelberg Cements. Heidelberg took the stake at a price of 54 per share and acquired the stake of Birlas. It then made an open offer for another 22% stake at a price of 58 per share. Having acquired around 68 % share in the company Heidelberg infused a sum of around 360 crores, thus clearing debts with institutions and made the company debt free.  The company made a smart turnaround in 2006 and is now on its path to good growth and profitability.

 

YEAR         DEC08       07          06            05            04

SALES        804           595        483          517         486

NP              125            98         -9             -90         -25

All figures are in crores and rounded numbers.

Total Equity capital is 158 crores  for Dec 08 and EPS for FY 08 was around 8.

For HY 09 ending June 09 , the sales was 531 crores up around 53 % and net profit was around 93 crores up around 53 %.

During march 09, the company amalgated Indorama Cements with itself and the equity consequently increased to around 226 crores.  On expanded equity the half yearly eps was around 4 per share. Promoter holding is around 68%

Total market cap of the company presently is around 940 crores and company had cash of around 200 crores on year ending Dec08. There is no notable debt on the books.  So here we have a company which sells for total net value of around 750 crores  which is debt free and has a cement capacity of 2.3 mn tpa and expected sales of more than 1200 crores. And plans to raise capacity to 6  mn tpa.  But Heidelberg has turned around since 2006  and hence cost cutting and other measures can increase profits significantly.

Following factors make a strong case for rerating of the stock:

Strong parentage

Debt free status with cash on books

Cheap Valuations

Good growth prospects under Heidelberg

RONW 34 % as on Dec 08

Strong cash generation capacity

NEGATIVES:

Any downturn in cement cycle can adversely affect the stock price

No dividend paid (expected due to growing phase)

Heidelberg Cements looks like a strong rerating candidate amongst all smaller and midcap cement companies.  MF holding  and FII holding is negligible. Company sold Carbon Credits during Oct 08 and hence in future Carbon credits can add to profitability.

Technically stock is consolidating between 39 and 47 during last 25 trading sessions.

 

Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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Mohan
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Quote Mohan Replybullet Posted: 24/Aug/2009 at 8:58pm
Hitesh,
A couple of questions for you on this new pick.

    1. How much money did Heidelberg spend in all for the 68 % stake at Rs 58 ?
    2. Is the Rs 360 Crores to clear the debts in addition to the money spent for the 68 % stake ? If yes, How did the infuse this money into the company ? ( Loan or Equity )
   3.  Is the 2.3 m capacity post merger ? How much was the capacity addition after merger of Indo Rama Cement?

Thanks


Edited by Mohan - 24/Aug/2009 at 8:59pm
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.
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chimak10
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Quote chimak10 Replybullet Posted: 24/Aug/2009 at 9:17pm
Is the parent company german????



Hopefully it shouldn't become HINDENBURG.
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 25/Aug/2009 at 2:30pm
Heidelberg Cements is among the top three cement producers in the world. The company is heidelberg and not any other name. Heidelberg is a subsidiary of Cementrum B V Netherlands.

In 2006, Heidelberg took over the co. from Birlas, infused a sum of Rs 360 crore by making a preferential allotment of 6.5 crore shares to itself at a price of Rs 54 per share and cleared the debts, making the co. debt free

Here is the history of the company from the company website mycemco.com Annual report for 2008 is available on company website.


HeidelbergCement India Limited (MCL), a HeidelbergCement Group Company, was promoted in 1958 by a Karnataka based industrialist in technical and financial collaboration with Kaisers of USA as a Public Limited Company.

The first one lac ton per annum dry process cement plant with an investment of Rs.220 lacs at Ammasandra Dist. Tumkur, Karnataka was commissioned in 1962. Immediately thereafter, an expansion was planned which doubled MCL's capacity to 2 lac tpa in 1966 at an investment of Rs.170 lacs Kaisers subsequently took control of the Company. Late Shri.G.D. Birla became the Chairman of the Company in 1966 and under his stewardship, the Company again doubled its capacity from 2 lac tpa to 4 lac tpa in 1968 at an investment of Rs.390 lacs MCL made steady progress and increased the capacity at Ammasandra to 6 Lac tpa with an investment of another Rs.230 lacs in 1978.

MCL, to expand, looked for a location in the North which, was then facing acute cement shortage. Damoh in Madhya Pradesh was selected and a 5 lac tpa green-field cement plant was set up at an investment of Rs.2950 lacs, which commenced production in 1983. This was a state of art first 5 stage preheater based technology plant in the Country which helped in maximising thermal efficiency. Encouraged with its success MCL also modernised its Ammasandra unit at an investment of Rs.3600 lacs, which was successfully completed in January, 1989, and helped not only in increasing the efficiency but also reduced cost of production on account of savings in power and fuel consumption.

The Clinkerisation capacity at Damoh was further increased to 10 lac tpa by installing another state of art 6 stage preheater Kiln at an investment of Rs.8000 lacs, which was commissioned in 1989, which helped not only in improving the operational efficiency but also in reducing the coal consumption and enhanced productivity.

A green field 5 lac tpa grinding unit was set up at Jhansi in Uttar Pradesh at an investment of Rs.5900 lacs, which commenced production in July 1989 to take advantage of the available fly ash from the nearby located Paricha Thermal Power Plant. Jhansi was considered an ideal location in view of the fact that Uttar Pradesh is one of the biggest cement consuming state with very little production capacity and even the available capacity then was only from the State Govt. owned cement plants.

With this MCL achieved a total capacity of over 20 lac in 1989-90, with a presence both in Southern and Northern markets, which at that time only ACC enjoyed. Subsequently with upgradation and balancing at Damoh, the capacity increased to 23 lac tpa in 2004-05.

Pursuant to the Share Subscription and Share Purchase Agreement and Escrow Agreement Cementrum I B.V.(subsidiary of HeidelbergCement AG) acquired Equity Shares from the S.K. Birla Group and its affiliates. In addition, further Equity Shares were acquired under the Open Offer giving Cementrum I B.V. 54.89% shareholding in HeidelbergCement India Limited.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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hit2710
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Quote hit2710 Replybullet Posted: 25/Aug/2009 at 2:33pm
Originally posted by Mohan


Hitesh, A couple of questions for you on this new pick.     1. How much money did Heidelberg spend in all for the 68 % stake at Rs 58 ?    2. Is the Rs 360 Crores to clear the debts in addition to the money spent for the 68 % stake ? If yes, How did the infuse this money into the company ? ( Loan or Equity )    3.  Is the 2.3 m capacity post merger ? How much was the capacity addition after merger of Indo Rama Cement? Thanks


Some of your queries are solved from the details I gave. Regarding capacity, I would like to find out details of Indorama Cements and give precise capacity. That will take time because at present I am tied up attending to a friend in an icu with neurology problems.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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Quote suru27 Replybullet Posted: 25/Aug/2009 at 10:02pm
There is an article on this company in bajaj's monthly investment magazine for this month.. The reasons for buy has been given similar "as a corporate turnaround" story and in list of cement stocks, the cheapest and prmosing stocvk available..
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Quote anthro Replybullet Posted: 15/Nov/2009 at 11:36pm
Despite talk of impending overcapacity in the cement sector , Heidelberg deserves attention as perhaps the right time to look at such "FERA " companies is when there is all round pessimism towards a sector .

Market cap of 500 crore ( 836 crore less 337 crore cash ) which can be covered in < 3 years PAT .Capacity going up to 4.7 mtpa from accrued money.

At very conservative 75$ per tonne the replacement cost is 1750 + crore at 4.7 mtpa capacity which means Rs.77 per share .

a) Management pedigree : Top 3 in the world - German Mnc .They hold 69% and I expect they would want to delist . If indeed they wish to delist the earlier they attempt to do so the better for them . This is one trigger.

b) Accounting year is Jan to Dec . For year 2009 expect eps of over 8. Whereas Industry pe is above 8 a mid cap mnc cement stock that has just announced intention to double capacity by 100% deserves a higher pe in my view and definitely not sub 5 pe .

c) Expect dividend to be declared for this year - Jan-Dec 2009 period as the company would have wiped off all accumulated debts .If they declare a dividend of Rs.2 per 10 Re Share the yield at current prices would be 5% tax free ! Rerating would also happen .

d) Book value expected to cross Rs.30 by Dec 2009 - Cash per share expected to be near Rs.15 levels .

e) Heidelberg can also be a surprise aggresor in the consolidation of the cement sector .

f) Zero debt company - Clean financials,ROE of 26,Revenues of 953 Crores,EV/Tonne is 46,EV/EBIDTA is 4.2, Great debtor days and also capacity utilisation position.Good markets essentially the lucrative central indian belt . Smart management including ex Ambit`s Ashish Guha and 3 distinguished germans on the board - all career heidelbergers - Dr.Bernd Scheifele,Dr Lorenz Nager and Dr Albert Scheuer.

Globally Richard Perry the reclusive but successful hedge fund manager recently recommended Heidelberg with the brief comment " The price of rock has never gone down " .

My view is to consider buying at these levels for substantial appreciation to the believer . This company offers not just a sector play but also a play on a huge ( and efficiently silent ) turnaround story , an open offer / delisting play and a dividend rerating play .


Edited by SaneCounsel - 20/Nov/2009 at 6:45pm
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wiseowl
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Quote wiseowl Replybullet Posted: 15/Nov/2009 at 10:36am
Re-rating etc may not happen in a hurry because the parent company may have different priorities. Heidelberg may look to restructure its global operations and India could be low in their list because of the small nature of operations here.

If one is looking at Heidelberg (India) as a stand-alone entity, that is a different matter.
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