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 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
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Janak.merchant1
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Quote Janak.merchant1 Replybullet Posted: 23/Feb/2008 at 11:22am
Originally posted by sajanvm

Janak
 
500 Cr is the projection made by mgmt after IPO. I have assumed that they can do 50% of projection ie 250 Cr.
 
Please see their last 2 qtr results: OPM in 18% in Sep qtr and 21% on Dec qtr.
 
If they can do 250 Cr at 18%, it will mean 40 Cr op profits . Current EV is 75 Cr
If they can do 250 Cr at 12%, it will mean 30 Cr op profits. Still cheap.
 
Thats why it seemed  a bargain to me.
 
Risks are:
Customer concentration - which can lead to customer having high bargaining power
RM price risks unless majority of sales are on cost plus basis (i understand that their 2 main customers have a cost plus agreement with them)
Delays in capacity expansion
Capacities coming up in China
Supply demand dynamics being altered in case of global slowdown.
 
I would welcome your thoughts as well.
 
Thanks Sajan, for your reply. Actually i do not know much abt this co. Will be difficult for me to understand their business.
 
Best wishes
I love my money, not my opinion. So i am ready and willing to change my opinion for the sake of protecting my money.
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vishu013
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Quote vishu013 Replybullet Posted: 12/Jan/2009 at 4:21pm
Any updates on this counter ? Its been thrashed to 15 odd levels. Any specific news/updates on this company ?
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commnman
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Quote commnman Replybullet Posted: 03/Nov/2011 at 2:23pm
Someone somewhere asked Hit bhai about this Company. So,
Q2/Fy-12 Results out...

Total Income up 26.3% to 55.47 Cr from 43.91 Cr.
EBIDTA up 56.5% to 10.55 Cr from 6.74 Cr.
Net Profit up 30.3% to 5.6 Cr from 4.3 Cr.

EBIDTA margin is 19% V/s 20% (JQ-11) and 15.4% (SQ-10)
NET Pr margin is 10.1% V/s 11.1% (JQ-11) and 9.8% (SQ-10)

Total Raw material costs as a %ge to Income is 54.8% V/s 56.9% (JQ-11) and 59.6% (SQ-10)
Employee costs to Income is stable around 2.5% of Income.
Power & Fuel expenses to Income is 12.1% V/s 9.2% (JQ-11) and 9.6% (SQ-10)
Other expenses to Income is 11.5% V/s 11.3% (JQ-11) and 13.2% (SQ-10)

Interest expense to EBIT is 13.6% V/s 13.4% (JQ-11) and 13.1% (SQ-10)

H1/Fy-12 v/s H1/Fy-11:
Total Income up 25.4% to 111.1 Cr from 88.62 Cr.
EBIDTA up 61% to 21.66 Cr from 13.45 Cr.
Net Pr up 38.7% to 11.76 Cr from 8.47 Cr.

Tax Rate 28.62% V/s 11.9%
Interest costs to some extent and sudden jump in Tax incidence affected net profits.

Reported Half-Year EPS 9.58 V/s 6.9
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main toh aam aadmi hun... jo sunta hoon wohi sach maanta hoon
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