Originally posted by sajanvm
Janak
500 Cr is the projection made by mgmt after IPO. I have assumed that they can do 50% of projection ie 250 Cr.
Please see their last 2 qtr results: OPM in 18% in Sep qtr and 21% on Dec qtr.
If they can do 250 Cr at 18%, it will mean 40 Cr op profits . Current EV is 75 Cr
If they can do 250 Cr at 12%, it will mean 30 Cr op profits. Still cheap.
Thats why it seemed a bargain to me.
Risks are:
Customer concentration - which can lead to customer having high bargaining power
RM price risks unless majority of sales are on cost plus basis (i understand that their 2 main customers have a cost plus agreement with them)
Delays in capacity expansion
Capacities coming up in China
Supply demand dynamics being altered in case of global slowdown.
I would welcome your thoughts as well. |