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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: Capitalizing from this Bearish phase!
    Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 6:31pm
It is strange how quickly things have changed; people wanting to sell at any price and getting back home. It is not easy to take away the wealth from the markets. Didn't someone say that "too much wealth has been made in too little a time".
 
More then the cash equity component which all of us focus on the focus should be on the kind of stocks that we hold. Bearish phases provides excellent space for people to change the bad stocks for the better ones. In other words we can wash our sins in this market.
 
So if you have RNRL and it has been down 40% you can buy HDFC which is also down 35% and walk away without any bad effects on your wealth.Most of us do have this notion of purchase price and it is this purchase price which disturbs us in doing what we should.
 
So just making a list of the companies whose EPS seems unstable over the next few quarters shouykd provide enough clue.
 
Finally even if you are in 30% cash do not let that other 70% fall by 60% because in that case what we will be left with is 1005- 70%x60%= 58%.
 
Please be very careful in choosing the horses to ride on. One worng decision and we could be wiped out because on recovery this market isn't going to lift all boats!
 
Rememeber most of the people had missed out the bear market in 2001-03 because it was unfashionable to invest and the ones who invested at that point in time made money like bandits.
 
Quite a few who kept buying stocks like DSQ and HFCL in the fall of 2000 were stuck with what we now know as dud stocks.
 
So while some stocks rallied the older ones faltered and inevstors should recognize the difference between the two.
 
Finally please do not average but try and see whether the initial thesis in which you bought the stock makes sense if it does then buy more if it does not take the loss and run.... to another company or cash as you think is appropriate
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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deepinsight
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Quote deepinsight Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 6:42pm
Basantji:
Good thoughts.
 
Can you help qualify the variables on which one should choose?
 
Quality of earnings.
Order Book.
etc.
 


Edited by deepinsight - 18/Mar/2008 at 8:26pm
"Investing is simple, but not easy." - Warren Buffet
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chic_1978
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Quote chic_1978 Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 6:44pm
Basantjee
 
Can we identify the stocks out of TED XI that can be bought in switch over in current scenario .....everyone must hv missed some or other stock out of XI earlier because of price factor....say pantaloon or titan...
happy & wise investing
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prashantmohta
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Quote prashantmohta Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 6:55pm
 
So if you have RNRL and it has been down 40% you can buy HDFC which is also down 35% and walk away without any bad effects on your wealth.Most of us do have this notion of purchase price and it is this purchase price which disturbs us in doing what we should.
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i have bought more hdfc today.i have full faith in deepak and since from years it is the pillar of india stock market whether u take harshad or kp scam.it is 50% cagr.
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omshivaya
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Quote omshivaya Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 6:59pm

Basant sir, recently you increased exposure to HDFC or HDFC bank, which one??

I guess when you talk of HDFC, you are meaning HDFC Bank right??
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 7:05pm

I was really hoping that this kind of thread would be called "Investing in a bear market".

If that was the case, I would have immediately posted "Why invest in a bear market in first place". Why not go short????
 
ROFL
 
You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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prashantmohta
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Quote prashantmohta Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 7:16pm

there is rumour in the market that citi will sell the entire holding and also heard from few mungeri but i think citi should use common sense.

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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Mar/2008 at 7:17pm
Originally posted by chic_1978

Basantjee
 
Can we identify the stocks out of TED XI that can be bought in switch over in current scenario .....everyone must hv missed some or other stock out of XI earlier because of price factor....say pantaloon or titan...
 
There is a sale in the market. The ones I picked were CBoP (HDFC Bank) and Titan. Take your pcik and get rid of the duds in the portfolio.Smile
 
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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