Active TopicsActive Topics  Display List of Forum MembersMemberlist  CalendarCalendar  Search The ForumSearch  HelpHelp
  RegisterRegister  LoginLogin

Stock Synopsis
 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
Message Icon Topic: ICSA - Next Big thing Post Reply Post New Topic
Page  of 54 Next >>
Author Message
Rinku
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: 06/Apr/2007
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 313
Quote Rinku Replybullet Topic: ICSA - Next Big thing
    Posted: 14/Aug/2007 at 4:45am
Next big thing
PENNY WISE
Niren Shah / Mumbai August 6, 2007
Innovative products and geographical diversification will allow ICSA India to expand its footprint globally.
 
It is well known that the Indian power sector has been experiencing shortages perennially. The peak power shortage amounts to about 13 per cent, while the total energy shortage is about 8 per cent for the entire country.
 
The story turns gloomier as the power transmission and distribution companies grapple with incessant power thefts across the country. Transmission and distribution losses to state electricity boards (SEBs) and distribution companies amount to almost 35-40 per cent of their total distributed power.
 
The few power ancillaries from the industry have been trying to come up with innovative solutions to tackle power-thefts, and have achieved some success. ICSA India is one such power ancillary, which has its roots in making devices to monitor power supply at various points of its distribution, is now adding more products and solutions using information technology.
 
Versatile products
 
ICSA has developed technologies with embedded software, which monitor as well as communicate the supply and consumption to a central database stationed at the distribution company’s offices.
 
These devices help distribution companies monitor their networks for faults, as well as to get real-time supply and consumption data while conducting energy audits, which are now mandatory for all SEBs.
 
ICSA is now extending the application of this technology from distribution of electricity to other areas such as supply of water, oil and gas pipelines for remote meter reading, supply audits, monitoring of thefts, leakages and other maintenance.
 
“Our strength lies in our R&D, which enables us to design and launch new proprietary technologies and products,” says G Bala Reddy, chairman and managing director, ICSA India. “We already have four patents approved, and another two are likely to be approved by the end of FY08,” he adds.
 
The company has recently developed a technology to measure and monitor corrosion in oil and gas pipelines, with the use of sensors placed on pipelines at various places which communicate the condition of the pipeline back to the control rooms using GSM technology. With this product, ICSA is eyeing oil and gas majors globally to expand its client base.
 
Globalising
 
In FY07, about 12 per cent of ICSA’s top line constituted of export revenues. Says Reddy, “We are now looking to expand our reach beyond the Indian shores, and considering entering developed markets such as the US and the UK.”
 
The company has been mulling over acquiring similar outfits in the west. For this, it has raised $22 million (Rs 88 crore) and $24 million (Rs 96 crore) via foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) in April-June this year.
 
Of this, $17 million (Rs 68 crore) has been utilised towards modernisation of its R&D and expansion of its existing production facilities. The rest will be used for acquisitions, which are likely to be completed by the end of FY08.
 
Powerful growth
 
ICSA has grown its top line at a compounded annual rate of 213 per cent over FY03-FY07, while its bottom line over this period has grown at a compounded rate of 416 per cent. It has maintained healthy operating margins at over 25 per cent over the past three years.
 
PERFORMANCE MONITOR

Rs crore

FY07 FY08E FY09E
Revenues 330.10 600.00 1000.00
Operating profit 85.10 160.20 270.00
OPM (%) 25.80 26.70 27.00
Net profit 63.60 115.00 200.00
NPM (%) 19.30 19.20 20.00
EPS (Rs) 82.60 134.00 210.50
P/E (x) 11.60 9.70 6.20
 
In line with this, the net profit margins have been well above 18 per cent for the same period. Over 90 per cent of its revenues are derived from its patented products at present, which is expected to lower as the annuity-based services and maintenance revenues kick in.
 
Going further, the company aims to rope in more from exports - by the end of FY08, the share of exports is expected to go up to 20 per cent from 12 per cent for the previous fiscal. “We already have an order book of Rs 600 crore, executable over the coming 12-18 months,” claims a confident Reddy.
 
Valuation
 
At Rs 1,300, ICSA is valued at nearly 10 times and 6 times its estimated FY08 and FY09 earnings, respectively. In comparison to other power ancillaries such as Emco, Indo Tech Transformers and Voltamp Transformers – which are largely focused on the power sector alone – ICSA traded at a significant discount, on a trailing 12-month basis. 

PEER COMPARISON

FY07

P/E
ICSA India 11.60
Emco 22.70
Indo Tech Transformers 16.30
Voltamp Transformers 23.50
 
Over the past three months, the stock has returned a whopping 78 per cent, and continues its uptrend. Given the company’s diversification strategy based on its intellectual capital, its growth plans appear well on track. One may consider including the stock in a long term portfolio.
Business - Standard
IP IP Logged
kaizenbudhi
Groupie
Groupie


Joined: 30/Jun/2007
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 82
Quote kaizenbudhi Replybullet Posted: 14/Aug/2007 at 5:21am
The company has been growing at the rate of >40% sales & >50% net profit for last 10 quarters (year on year) consistently. How many companies do we think we have of such kind in India? That too with unique patented products in portfolio. Equity dilution is also negligible. It has been a multi bagger and shall continue to be a multibagger goign forward.
IP IP Logged
us121
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: 03/Dec/2006
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 442
Quote us121 Replybullet Posted: 14/Aug/2007 at 9:29am
PEER COMPARISON

FY07

P/E
ICSA India 11.60
Emco 22.70
Indo Tech Transformers 16.30
Voltamp Transformers 23.50

These companies are in very different space together.

it is like comparing computer hardware and software companies.

Nevertheless,  my effort is not to underestimate potential of ICSA.
ABILITY will get u at d top. CHARACTER will retain u at d top
IP IP Logged
deepinsight
Senior Member
Senior Member
Avatar

Joined: 18/Sep/2006
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 980
Quote deepinsight Replybullet Posted: 14/Aug/2007 at 10:56am
concerns:
 
1. major dependency on one large order internationally (sudan ! ) - though I read somewhere that they are working on bids in Middle East
2. dependency on public sector electricity boards as customers (how well will they pay, winning new contracts, etc. etc.) - though they seem to have done a great job so far and the size of the opportunity is big.
3. management - though proven through numbers that they are capable of executing - hardly any information on integrity and being shareholder friendly. they have been giving themselves warrants diluting shareholders.
"Investing is simple, but not easy." - Warren Buffet
IP IP Logged
tigershark
Senior Member
Senior Member
Avatar

Joined: 13/Oct/2006
Location: India
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 3542
Quote tigershark Replybullet Posted: 15/Aug/2007 at 12:29pm
how strong are entry barriers,can imports hurt
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things
IP IP Logged
deepinsight
Senior Member
Senior Member
Avatar

Joined: 18/Sep/2006
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 980
Quote deepinsight Replybullet Posted: 15/Aug/2007 at 3:29pm
The entry barriers would be somewhat high (though its always possible for someone to copy and develop) as the company's products been developed over many years - tested and implemented in the field.
 
Plus their new products for new sectors oil and gas, water etc. would enjoy a few years of lead.
 
Imports as far as I can see is not an issue (as their products are software, proprietary hardware and related services).
"Investing is simple, but not easy." - Warren Buffet
IP IP Logged
Rinku
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: 06/Apr/2007
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 313
Quote Rinku Replybullet Posted: 15/Aug/2007 at 5:02pm
How many people from TED holding this share?
IP IP Logged
go4lalit
Senior Member
Senior Member


Joined: 27/Aug/2006
Online Status: Offline
Posts: 135
Quote go4lalit Replybullet Posted: 15/Aug/2007 at 9:47pm

This company is very interesting given there are heavy T&D losses in India and govt will invest in minimizing these losses.

With the current price of 1715/- , this stock is already up 106 times in the last 3 years. I am wondering why this stock was never in the radar of big MFs.

Going forward, it will depend on how the company can secure more orders.  However I still feel that the risk reward is very favarouble as the stock is still not re-rated in terms of PE. The sheer 106 times return was due to EPS growth.

Disclaimer: I have already boarded this train at 1100 levels
IP IP Logged
Page  of 54 Next >>
Post Reply Post New Topic
Printable version Printable version

Forum Jump
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot create polls in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum



This page was generated in 0.047 seconds.
Bookmark this Page