Originally posted by koolvalue
Mahesh Sir
So far we are concentrating on the fact that Hical has
done considerable investments and is ready to harness benefits arising out of it.In this we are assuming that
Hical will be able to monetise the assets.A lot has been
said about CRAMS space in India but in last three to four
years no major deal/contract has come to Indian companies
way.Jubilant life sciences invested in capacity build up,dishman invested in capacity build up,nothing materilised and companies went down under debt.We
need to analyse capability of Hikal to monetise assets if
at all the outsourcing starts in a big way |
Hi koolvalue,
Rgdg. CRAMS space you are seeing only one side of coin.....You are missing PI Ind. success......Now, Hikal is not only invloved in Pharma space in CRAMS business but is also involved in Crop Protection space where Jub.Ind. as well as Dishman are not there and is forte of PI Ind......
Also, I don't expect significant things from CRAMS operations of Hikal for atleast till next two years as its started only in 2008 and takes its own time to mature....
Rgdg. Asset Utilisation point, its the firm contracts in place whose delivery is to start from Q3FY13 and so going forward asset utilisation has to improve there is no doubt on that....Two crucial things are there in this, one Initium delivery which will pick up significantly because of CPMRA approval which will clear way for its launch in more regions and second , USFDA approval for Panoli plant where dedicated facilities for European Biopharma Innovator is made....These two aspects will itself improve asset utilisation considerably in FY14...
This is not to say that there are no risks....risks are there but here comes into picture the shareholding structure of Hikal wherein minority shareholders loose much less than promoters in case of any failure....A reputed group like Baba Kalyani on verge of better times ahead with a situation where the promoters are loosing more than minority shareholders reduces the risk considerably...
However, all these I am saying from long term point of view i.e., minimum 2.5-4 years and in short term this co.'s share can exhibit wild fluctuations because of low floating stock....
Feel free to get back to me in case of any query.
Rgds.