Originally posted by Chillman
Hi everybody. I am studying Suprajit very closely since last month. The stock has made a very decent breakout technically and looks a very compelling buy in the 115-125 range.
The fundamentals of the company are also very excellent. Here are a few of them (in addition to the earlier brief):
1. Based on the YoY %age sales growth of the last 10 years, the long term sales growth comes to 25.30%.
2. The operating profit margin for the pat 10 years has hovered in the range of 15 - 17% which is pretty consistent. Remember that auto ancillaries being vendors can remain competitive by improving the costing and quality as they don't have much bargaining power. Any rise in the inputs have to be met internally either by cost cutting or reducing margin and hence profitability at the operating level assumes significance
3. Inventory levels of auto ancillaries is a very important indicator. For Suprajit the inventory days as per Mar'09 bal sheet is 23 days. The average based on 10 year data was 20 days. However the latest peer comparison (Bosch, Motherson Sumi, Exide and Amtek auto) reveal that the average inventory holding stands at around 38-40 days.
4. Majority of the brokerage houses are very bullish on the Auto sector for the coming year.
5. The company's clients include heavy weights of the auto sector and it is a tier I supplier for many of them.
6. Prices of steel , rubber to be kept an eye on since they are the major inputs.
7. Being in the capital intensive business , the asset turnover ratio and ROA play an important role. For suprajit, the latest annual total Assets t/o ratio is 1.71 times. The average for an auto ancillary is somewhere around 2 to 3 times.
The ave. ROA for Suprajit for last 10 yrs was 13.74% whereas the latest was 11.03%. So Suprajit is slightly lacking on the asset utilisation front.
8. The company is also lacking on the Wcap to Sales ratio where the latest is Sales are 10 times the Wcap. The peers have somewhere around
15- 27 times.
On charts the company looks a strong buy, the last 7 trading sessions have been phenomenal with good volumes and the stock has zoomed from Rs.95-
98 to Rs.118. It is hittin new highs almost everyday.
However the positives of the company outweigh the negatives and hence one can consider this scrip for the long term.
One can check BSE/NSE website for Suprajit's management's letter to the shareholders on the progress of the company submitted to the exchanges.
Good day.
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