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Message Icon Topic: Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols Ltd.(Topic Closed Topic Closed) Post Reply Post New Topic
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maheshi
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 4:21pm
To rivisit your debt part of the query, One needs to understand the reason why this high debt is there in the books. If you see their plants of Gokak, Viramgam and Pantnagar, they are world-class plants and best in Asia. In last many years they have invested heavily to ramp up capacity as well as build best quality plants. Their vision is to become largest cornstarch player in asia and this they can do it only with pace.

They have taken debt route of financing rather than diluting equity heavily and with this investors and analysts should be happy rather than concerned. Yes - concern should arise if they are not growing topline at brisk pace but this is not the case as Riddhi has been growing topline and therefore capturing market-share briskly since last many years.

Now, the time is ripe to get fruit of all the investments Riddhi has made since last many years and the high debt will now start coming down at brisk pace from now on because of healthy internal cash generation as well as french cornstarch major taking equity stake in the company for an amount equivalent to current debt. This will add straightaway to bottomline which will rerate the stock significantly in the near future.

Rgds.
Mahesh
 
 
 
Originally posted by hit2710

Maheshiji,

What would you consider the risk factors for RSGB?

First thing that comes to mind is rise in raw material price esp maize. Would it be pass through?

And what would be the current debt of the company? I saw the last four quarters and the interest payment seems to be reducing.

regards
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maheshi
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 4:31pm
To reconfirm the financial projections of my report on Riddhi Siddhi, today afternoon Mr. Ganpat Chowdhary was interviewed on UTVi channel and he has said that "In current FY11 I am quite hopeful of achieving 1000 cr. plus topline figure and EBIDTA between 160 to 180 cr." Queried on capacity expansion on Rudrapur plant he said that "Part of the benefit of 30 % capacity expansion at Rudrapur plant will be felt in FY11 while the full benefit will accrue in FY12"
 
The guidance of 160-180 cr. EBIDTA is better than that mentioned in the report of 158.4 cr. which reconfirms my assessment that I have been conservative in my projections and the management of Riddhi Siddhi will defenitely deliver better than the projected figures.
 
If past track record of Riddhi's management of keeping their words is anything to go by then a significant rerating awaits Riddhi's stock in FY11.
 
Rgds.
Mahesh
 
Originally posted by maheshi

To rivisit your debt part of the query, One needs to understand the reason why this high debt is there in the books. If you see their plants of Gokak, Viramgam and Pantnagar, they are world-class plants and best in Asia. In last many years they have invested heavily to ramp up capacity as well as build best quality plants. Their vision is to become largest cornstarch player in asia and this they can do it only with pace.

They have taken debt route of financing rather than diluting equity heavily and with this investors and analysts should be happy rather than concerned. Yes - concern should arise if they are not growing topline at brisk pace but this is not the case as Riddhi has been growing topline and therefore capturing market-share briskly since last many years.

Now, the time is ripe to get fruit of all the investments Riddhi has made since last many years and the high debt will now start coming down at brisk pace from now on because of healthy internal cash generation as well as french cornstarch major taking equity stake in the company for an amount equivalent to current debt. This will add straightaway to bottomline which will rerate the stock significantly in the near future.

Rgds.
Mahesh
 
 
 
Originally posted by hit2710

Maheshiji,

What would you consider the risk factors for RSGB?

First thing that comes to mind is rise in raw material price esp maize. Would it be pass through?

And what would be the current debt of the company? I saw the last four quarters and the interest payment seems to be reducing.

regards
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deepinsight
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 4:51pm
Mahesh: Just wanted to say "well written@ and " well researched". Thanks for the efforts of putting it here.
"Investing is simple, but not easy." - Warren Buffet
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maheshi
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 5:31pm
Thanks & Rgds.
 
Mahesh
Originally posted by deepinsight

Mahesh: Just wanted to say "well written@ and " well researched". Thanks for the efforts of putting it here.
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hit2710
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 5:33pm
Originally posted by deepinsight

Mahesh: Just wanted to say "well written@ and " well researched". Thanks for the efforts of putting it here.


Thanks and same from me too.
Stockmarket is a weird place. For every person who buys a stock there is a person who sells it and both think they are very smart.
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satsandh
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 9:13pm
Hi Mahesh,
 
Congrats, very well researched and documented report, must say you have really taken efforts to prepare this report, I was particularly amazed by the crisis management examples you have described in your report.
Your research reports are detailed and you are ready with answers to any queries that we have, I have seen the same in Simran Farms too.
I have been keeping RSGBL on my radar for some weeks now, I had read about the offer from Roquette Freres for taking a majority stake at 30% above the market price and that is what drew my attention.
The only worry was the debt in the books, but with good growth forecasted and history of good performance this has the makings of a good investment.
Looking to enter next week.
When are they declaring the Q1 results ?
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brijwanth
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 11:45pm
Riddhi siddhi is a good stock and had been the only multibagger for me I have bought it around 70 rupees(discovered before the media attention for the stock) and hold it till recently and sold it @ 200/-

Sorry to post the negatives but Riddhi siddhi though in excellent business has always the pressure on Margins because of almost same clientele and lower bargaining capacity the stock is already a multibagger for investors like me and hope it will raise much more
Past will not be repeated in future but peaks and troughs do revert to mean, period and order of those peaks, troughs and mean days is the one i.e. not predictable- riser3 valuations
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Stockboy
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bullet Posted: 16/Jul/2010 at 11:48pm
I smell a rat here. Such detailed reports are made at the behest of someone and published for some reasons. In both the cases of Riddhi as well as Simran Farms, the author mentions equity dilution. Look at at simran farms, with negligible debt, why should it go for equity
raising?
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