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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: Nitco Tiles – A derived Real estate & housing play
    Posted: 27/Aug/2006 at 9:18am

Nitco Tiles – A derived Real estate cum housing play.

 

When there was a gold rush in California all the diggers bought pick axes and shovels. While many gold mining enthusiasts did not make money the ones selling equipments and accessories made decent money.  Levi Strauss Jeans was one example.

 

This analogy may be repeated in the Indian real estate market while it is not certain that you would make money buying land and selling homes it is certain that you would need floor tiles, glass, electrical fittings etc. So companies manufacturing these items would surely make money.

 

Nitco tiles (CMP Rs 169) is India’s leading tile manufacturer  with a fully automated integrated Ceramic tile plant built in technical collaboration with world leaders 'Sacmi Impianti' of Italy. The marble division has a processing facility at Mumbai and the company also has a Cement terrazzo division. The company derives 50% of its business from new construction while the other 50% depends upon the renovation market. This ratio could get skewed in favor of the new construction as the spending on this sector grows at a faster pace over the next few years

 

The per capita consumption in India is as low as 0.15 sq.mtr as compared to China (2 sq. mtr), Europe (6 sq.mtr), Brazil (2.5 sq.mtr). India figures in the 11th position in the list of top consuming nations of tiles in the world. The ceramic tiles demand is projected to grow at over 20% for the next 3-4 years based on continuing thrust on housing and real estate, booming economy, rising disposable incomes of the middle class.

 

The existing plants at Nitco are running at 100% capacity utilization. To create volume growth the company set up a new plant at Alibaug in May this year. This increased the floor tile capacity by close to 56%. The annual capacity increase of 2.28 million sq. mtrs. shall significantly contribute to the bottom-line in FY 07.

 

The company has installed windmills to generate 7.50 MW of power, which it sells to the MSEB at a rate of Rs 3.5 per unit (to increase by 15 p each year). In return, the company purchases power from the state electricity board at a lower price. This is because the state government encourages clean sources of energy from windmills. In the first quarter revenues from the power generation was Rs 1.5 crore and the management expects to do at least Rs 5 crore fro the full year. 

 

NITCO is the highest importer of Marble at 12,816 tons. This accounts for 9.90% of total marble imports in the country. The company also launched a Wooden tiles collection this year.

 

For the past few years the company’s ceramic tiles division has been averaging growth at 40-50%. The marble business does not facilitate this kind of growth as it is quota-based. The growth here is at around 25%.

 

The company is planning to do an acquisition of a wall tile unit or put up a new unit and various options are presently being evaluated.

 

C.M.P

Rs 169

Market capitalization

Rs 378 crores

Sales FY 07 Q1

Rs 88.87 crores

Net Profit FY 07 Q1

Rs 6.90 crores

EPS Fy 07 (E)

Rs 20.00

PE

8.45

Book Value

Rs 115.81

 

 

 

In the first quarter of FY07 net profit was up 114% at Rs 6.9 crore against Rs 3.22 crore for Q1FY06 even as its net sales jumped 42% on top of a robust volume growth. The management expects the trend to continue as revenues from its new projects have started to kick in from May this year. The return ratios are below 12% which should improve as the new facility starts to contribute and the IPO cash gets fully deployed.

 

The company also increased its realization per square meter in FY 06 as is evident from the table below. This indicates the company’s advent into higher margin items.

 

Realization FY06

(Rs per sq mtr)

Product Category

FY06

FY05

Ceramic Tiles

301

273

Vitrified Tiles

517

514

Marbles

2454

2755

Mosaic Tiles

258

151

 

 

NITCO Real Estate: NITCO Tiles has recently entered into the Real Estate business, with the initial project being started at Andheri, Mumbai.

 

Exports: Nitco also focuses on markets abroad and exports about 20% of its Ceramic tiles production all over the world including Canada and the US

 

Recommendation: NITCO Tiles remains a twin play on the Indian housing/real estate market as well as on rising consumer incomes. At a PE of 8.45 times FY 07 the stock merits investment and investors should take positions and add on declines.

 

Source: Company feedback and media reports

 

 



Edited by basant - 12/Nov/2006 at 10:29am
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Quote PKB2000 Replybullet Posted: 28/Aug/2006 at 8:32pm
Oh greaaaaaaaaaaat
I am always doing that which I cannot do, in order that I may learn how to do it. ~Pablo Picasso
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Quote chic_1978 Replybullet Posted: 28/Aug/2006 at 9:22pm
Hi Basant
 
Nice article
 
Nitco looks attractive at these levels but can i check on a similiar script Pokarna Ltd, its leader in marble manufacturing in India.
 
happy & wise investing
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 28/Aug/2006 at 10:43pm
Chic: had a very brief look at Pokarna. Financials look very impressive but you know I do not prefer mining stocks as a class. The Markets never give you a high PE and also the life of each company becomes finite (till the mine is exhausted) unless it gets new licenses. Just a personal opinion after all De Beers is also a mining company.Also the with granite mines the finished product does not have any pricing power it all depends on what quality of stome is mined - and that can change very quickly.
 
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Quote harshbhandari Replybullet Posted: 03/Sep/2006 at 5:11pm
Hi!! Basant,
 
The price has gone up to Rs.206 within a week of your article. Is it still worth buying. What is your target price or expected appreciation time frame?
I am keen on having a portfolio of multi-baggers- what would you recommend.
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 03/Sep/2006 at 5:21pm
Hi,
 
Yes it did shoot up and from the way it went up it appears that some institution wants to load up on the stock very fast.You would know timing the market is never possible so if you want to put in fresh money you may buy 25% of your desired quantity now. Since the run up has been steep we would get a chance to get back in so further buying could be contemplated at those times.
 
More-over once you buy an initial quantity you gain from both sides if the prices fall you could buy more if they rise your stock will be in profit.
 
I generally prefer taking an initial position the moment the idea looks good and then loading on as prices recede.
 
Regards,
 
Basant 
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 19/Oct/2006 at 8:16pm
The September quarter 2006 saw Nitco report some good numbers the net profit at Rs 8.89 crores was up by 28.8% from 6.90 crores in the previous quarter
 
The company increasd its sales by 10% to  97.1 crores from 87.36 crores in the previous quarter.The management said that they had an internel target of increasing sales by 5%each month. That would mean an annual increase in sales of close to 70% - 80%. We would however take the figure at 50%.By next year the company's new plants would start adding to the bottomline.
 
The operating profits increased by close to 11% and the real increase in profits came from a reduction in interest costs which fell to Rs 1.84 crores from Rs 3.29 crores in the previous quarter.
 
The company is also sitting on a land bank of 200-300 acress across cities like Bombay, Delhi, Ahmedabad.
 
The stock remains is attractively priced and should give significantly good returns for long term investors.


Edited by basant - 19/Oct/2006 at 8:18pm
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Quote sun_1313 Replybullet Posted: 28/Oct/2006 at 8:28am
basantji,
 
nitco is drifting down despite good results.
 
ideal time to buy?, or any bad news?
 
 
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